Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.524564 3.743421 3.977905 4.249446 4.557349 4.898237 5.307885
2025-05-18 3.204055 3.497381 3.828685 4.236038 4.731430 5.325725 6.111622
2025-05-25 2.891897 3.216152 3.596128 4.084225 4.710665 5.513230 6.668365
2025-06-01 2.684451 3.032991 3.454576 4.017675 4.777563 5.816125 7.451168
2025-06-08 2.528207 2.895339 3.351802 3.983195 4.876087 6.176570 8.428572
2025-06-15 2.416755 2.802389 3.294333 3.998086 5.040960 6.665171 9.802079
2025-06-22 2.279303 2.664872 3.165260 3.897781 5.019822 6.856431 10.728883
2025-06-29 2.144237 2.521324 3.016617 3.753649 4.910101 6.875269 11.321284
2025-07-06 2.048150 2.423336 2.922649 3.679281 4.899302 7.065368 12.416191
2025-07-13 2.024734 2.420469 2.958857 3.800468 5.224386 7.966496 16.089843
2025-07-20 1.981702 2.387634 2.949294 3.848956 5.431733 8.701128 20.315063
2025-07-27 1.960668 2.383440 2.979867 3.963006 5.776875 9.880437 29.257285
2025-08-03 1.909709 2.340390 2.958909 4.006316 6.030555 11.069530 46.398536
2025-08-10 1.848008 2.279047 2.906770 3.992857 6.173744 12.082677 81.105793
2025-08-17 1.762390 2.179161 2.789664 3.855638 6.031988 12.160853 112.203833
2025-08-24 1.700799 2.111665 2.719086 3.795179 6.052037 12.835402 301.356759
2025-08-31 1.650422 2.058277 2.667329 3.763748 6.134131 13.836174 NaN
2025-09-07 1.613260 2.022617 2.641294 3.776896 6.326655 15.523856 NaN
2025-09-14 1.558004 1.957463 2.564084 3.686340 6.245815 15.911210 NaN
2025-09-21 1.498426 1.883729 2.469645 3.556014 6.044734 15.569928 NaN
2025-09-28 1.454788 1.832633 2.409913 3.488599 5.998723 16.080886 NaN
2025-10-05 1.447547 1.836288 2.439815 3.598238 6.448656 20.283210 NaN
2025-10-12 1.428461 1.820842 2.436862 3.642009 6.732016 24.352152 NaN